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tv   U.S. Farm Report  NBC  February 28, 2016 6:00am-7:00am CST

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current state. conditions are ripe for avacado harvest in california... wll show you why this work isn't for the weary. that's our farm journal report. and in john's world... now for the market related news. u-s farmers could be facing the lowest commodity prices in a decade. the ag department out with its price forecast for the 201012017 marketing year. usda releasing its price forecast for 2016 during its ag tlook forum going on right now. usda chief economist robert johanss says he projects soybeans to drop to $8.50 a bushel. that's 30 cents lower than last year. corn is
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price forecast for wheat $4.20. those prices are based on a number of factors, including the outlook for global production continuing to outpace consumption. meanwhile, usda also saying wheat acres will hit the lowest level in 46 years. johannson projects lower commodity prices to idle some land, with a major cut to wheat. with a 5 percent cut to spring wheat, johanssen thinks all wheat acres will be down 3 point 6 million from last year. usda also thinks we could see record production on the livestock side. the agency calling for nearly 212 billion pounds of milk. with a total of 97 point 4 billion pounds of meat...including new records for both pork (25 billion) and poultry (41 billion). johansson is bullish on exports, thinking broiler, pork and beef exports will be up ts year. the usda's latest cattle on feed numbers show a total of 10.7 million head as of february first. that's just slightly lower than a year ago. placements--or cattle coming into feedyards were also down a bit (1.%) at
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1.59 million head..up 2 percent but still the lowest january total since the series began in 1996. as theil industry suffocates from oversupply, there's no end in sight. saudi arabia's petroleum minister squashed hopes of major oil producing countries cutting production. he told energy executives this wek that there's no sense in wasting time seeking prwduct cuts because that won't happen. the news put further pressure on oil prices, pushing wes texas intermediate crude immediately down 4 percent. natural gas crashed to a 17-year low this week. the fall on thursday came after the energy information adminstration showed gas stockpiles are 577 billion cubic feet higher than the 5 year average. weaker demand from higher than normal temperatures also pressuring prices. those lower oil prices are pining company profits, including basf. the world's largest chemicals company -- announcing this week
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quarter, mainly due to sputtering earning in its oil and gas sectors. as result, basf says its cutting staff-- including half of its biotech and r&d employees. out of the 350 jobs terminated, 140 are from north america and 180 in europe. basf says the restructuring will be completed by the end of this year. those are the headlines...meteorologist mike hoffman joins us now with weather. mike, a major winterstorm and tornadoes this week. what big weather events should we be watching next week? thanks,tyne. i don't see a storm quite that strong, i do see an acacve weather week this week with multiple e orms moving from west to east we'll get to that in a second. you'll notice on teh drought monitor, the moderate drought that was starting to pop up in central texas is now gone. that moisture helped you)all thought mcallen texas that area is still on the dry side. the driest area continues to be california, western nevada. that has slowly been shrinking over hte past few
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drought out there. let's go day by day, three areas of lower pressur eyoure'g oign tos ee on modnay, wedneasday and fridya one in the east one in the west, and this week one on monday. in the northern plains. each one of these has some rain and snow to the north of it. a few spotty showers and sotrms in sourthern mississippi valley on monday, but hte warmth really overtakes most of hthtsouthern portions of hte ocuntry. the only cold area up in the northern great lakes, by wendesday then some of that cold air starts to come back south int eh central and northern plains.that storm out west is now in the east with some sw in the north and west side of it. and maybe sever weather even on the east side of it. the next storm is pretty strong as well with rain along the coast. snow inland by friday that storm is diving thorugh the carlinas with tsome rain and snow there, maybe soem storms in flordiay and the next system moving through the northern portions of hte rockies and that will be putting down some moihntains nows with rain in lower elevations the warmth contniues in texas to southwest,
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half with a longer range outlook thanks, mike. we have two guests in this week to talk markets. bryan doherty, brian roach join me next.
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welcome back. this week on the marketing round table i have bryan doherty of stewart peterson and brian roach of roach ag. a lot to talk about this week, including ag outlook forms, some interesting numbers coming out of that. let's start with their price forecast. okay, chief economist came out. he's thinking we'll see $3.45 corn, $8.50 soybeans, $4.20 for wheat. that's his average guess. what factors support those prices at this point, brian? >> primarily good supplies, good beginning
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demand numbers rise more times than not. most years demand numbers rise. this year because the currencies we're seeing demand numbers smaller, and this snapshot at u.s. supply demand is typically driven by math more so than there's no producer inputs, no surveyed input into this. certainly there's you have to factor in the perfect, relatively perfect yield, which trendline yields are very high right now. and so when you look at this if you were to take a snapshot at harvest, and if these were the numbers that we had then these prices might be right, but we have to grow the crop. the northern hemisphere grows most of the corn in the rld, and so there's a lot of things that have to happen before we can look at these kind of prices as being real. >> bryan do you support trendline yields at this point? >> well, i think you have to at this point. as brian mentioned it's a mathematical number, and the
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adjustments as we go from there, and if things continue along the path you almost to have figure that we're near those prices already. so probably not a lot of nearterm downside for right now. all the uncertainty lies ahead with the crop. we have to grow it. we have to have the right mix of weather, and if you look at trendline yields the last three years we've been trendline or higher in corn, well above trendline in beans, so if you're betting on those numbers i wouldn't necesesrily get too comfortable with it just yet. the other thing to note t t is when you look at where we are currently in price, we did a historical study, indexed it to december's futures low, anyway, there's a bunch of math behind that. not a lot of reason to expect prices to move lower as we move into spring. >> moving lower but moving higher. what factors could help push prices higher? is it just weather? is it the main factor, or what other elements could come into play? >> two big pieces to that, and i don't think this year will play out any different. first is that the weather patterns in the world are unwinding from this el nino, and we know that historically the odds of having below trendline yield or at least no better than trend is
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up in alaska for the last couple ofofears has turned the e t stream down om cooler weather from canada and the arctic, and that's been beneficial to growing, you know, summertime temperatures have been lower. moisture levels have been good. that is no longer in place, and so i think it's a year of transition in weather that may keep the specs from getting these big short positions on before the crop is grown, but i would expect that to happen again. >> what does history tell us about trendline yields? >> well, it tells us that 50% of the time we're within 5% of trendline yield one way or the other, so if we have really outstanding weather and everything goes just right we could have a yield somewhere aroundnd72, 173, otherwise 5 5 less around 158 to 160. those numbers are too small that takes carryoyo toward a billion bushels, so as we look ahead keepn mind the markets he a tendency to move on, i think, three things: perception, momentum and attitude. and the perception right now is there's
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attitude is somewhat bearish. sideways to lower is the momentum, all that can change really quickly, and we saw that last year when corn prices rallied 90ents in a month. we saw in 2012, we saw over $3 rally in less than two months. >> brian, even if we don't have this massive, widespread drought that some are calling for this summer, does the hype around that give our producers an opportunity to price some of this grain at some point? >> i think so. like i said before, the and we've seen this fore where this typepef market with this type of fundamentals, we don't tend to put the highs in at this in the first quarter or even early in the second quarter, so we have a lot of work to do with getting this crop done. we've never made or lost a crop at this time of the year, and so i think producers should, you know, if you don't have cash flow covered for these march 1 bills, you know, keep the sales small just to get enough cash to cover that, but try to remain long as possible. if you can get through this
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are out there. i've talked to a lot of them this past week. you're going to have to think, like, midyear to get the to get, what i think, might be the beststrice, particularly if this crop goes in the ground fast. the 90ay forecasts are dry and rm. that means the crop goes in the ground fast. if that were to happen prices could sag right on down into the more critical part of the growing season, say late june all the way through july. >> all right, well, usda thinks that we could see low wheat acres, but also record meat production, so we're going
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welcome back. well, before we move to the livestock part of the conversation. brian, usda thinks we could have wheat acres the lowest in 47 years. they're even forecasting that because not a lot of folks are planting
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think we'll see? >> i'm not sure about the idleleart. farmers don't lili let acres sit idle, so i think you could see more beans. that's where i think that the likeliest scenario is or small grains, but wheat's been a difficult crop to grow. it's not profitable. farmers have necessarily here in the u.s. been very successful. catching rallies along the way the last three years. the biggest problem, though, is the world numbers. world supplies, world stocks, they're more than ample, and until that perception or that actually changes wheat's going to struggle, and that's probably the biggest problem with all of the grain markets is wheat has been leading the way down, and until it turns to corn we're probably going to stay more on a sideways to lower trend. >> yeah, bryan, with wheat it seems like we're just not as big of a player globally anymore, and so itits frustrating because no matter what happens here a lot of times we're not seeing the price benefit that we think we should. >> well, the problem with wheat is there's ample supplies, but i think the other side to look at,
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something in the ground and they're going to have something to sell here because land values are high. it's hard to let ground go fallow, and crp is expensive to put back in, and i think there will be limitations on crp, but i do think we're probably probing for some lows here in wheat. most wheat markets, if there's going to be get any bullish legs or traction will start in the spring and summer, not wintertime. weather, i'll go back to weather. weather every year is an opppptunity to sell wheat no matter where its grown, and i ink this year we'll ve to look for just how big of an opportunity do we get. >> brian, at the same time when we look at the numbers out of usda, they're forecasting record meat production, but they are bullish on meat exports, thinking we could see some benefits of that. we still have that strong dollar, so are you in that camp? >> i think exports will pick up, but because the dollar is weaker now than it was in november, so we'll see what happens. i think they're friendly on the export
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what really moves that, but i think the market or the world was betting on a higher dollar on increasing interest rates, and it doesn't look like we're going to see that. so, sure, we could see extra exports. they're actually incncasing exports in the grains as well compared to this year, so the usda is optimistic on those longer range numbers as well. but you've got big supplies. you've got markets in meats that are further and further removed from the tight feed supply from 2012. there's ample feed inventory, so when we get rallies like we're seeing in the cattle market here in the last couple of weeks, we've got a $10 pop, really start to think about how to protect that and manage that, and that will be the key, i think, for the difference between getting caught off guard or being comfortable. right now there's good levels to buy puts, buy puts sell call, run sells stops on their futures. they're manageable prices. >> well, we look at competition for the cattle side. when you look at cold storage we have record pork supplies in cold storage, a lottof poultry in cold storage, so
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store for consumers, so when we look at that side of things how do you think thaall plays out and what competition will that place on red meat? >> i think that the usda's telling us they expect the u.s. economy to hold together. the u.s. economy's the best in the world, and although it does have its problems, i think what we're seeing is that with feed numbers up, production and livestock all up, their intentions or their expectations are that the u.s. economy does hold together and that domestic consumption does take off some of this supply in cold storage. so my way of thinking is if theyeyexpect exports to rise they're also seeing that interest rates might not play as big a role in 2016 like bryan was saying and that we'll go back to a better demand picture than what we've seen in '15. we'll see that better in '16 and '17. >> bryan, looking at dairy, a situation
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soon, so what's your outlook on dairy prices this year? >> yeah, well, it's like any other market this year, ag especially, agriculture especially, we've just got an oversupply situation. you've got a downwardrending chart. the momentum's down, it's easy to sell and then sell again because that's been working, and that will continue to work until proven otherwise. as i visit the large prododers i don't think they've cut back this year, and so this market hasn't felt enough pain. we probably don't have a lot of downside, but upside is limited. >> all right. thank you both. we're going to get their closing thoughts when we come back on u.s. farm report. u.s. farm report sponsored by the enlist weed controlled system from dow agrosciences, combining the proven control of the new 2,4d and glyphosate. take control of
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welcome back. time
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days it's an end user side of the market. ififou're a buyer you want to extended coverage out while prices are relatively cheap. i don't thinknkhat commercials ththend user's side wants to be too complacent here because these are absolutely excellent prices, and if the weather were to change things or something were to come up that we can't forecast it's something that you don't want to miss out on. >> perfect. brya >> well, you stole my thunder, but you let's go to the other side of that coin. if you're a corn producer don't get caught with too much inventory on hand, so continue to lighten the load. go back in buy december corn calls. they're the cheapest way to rewn corn on a per-daily cost, and you're in front of the market all the way through next fall. you're still long in the market at cheap prices. >> all right. some really good closing thoughts. thank you both for being here with us this weekend. please stay us with. john phipps has some [indistinguishable] commentary w wn we come back. >instinct ii nitrogenen stabilizer makes more nitrogen available to corn longer. for
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john phipps joins us now from his shop. john. if you are not listening to agritalk, you should start. especially on t5esdays and fridays when host mike adams grapples with jim weisemeyer from informa in washington, dc; and chip flory, the host of market rally and yours truly. it's called a free-for-all and if this seems like a balantant plug, you are totally correct. it's not only some of the most fun i have every week, i usually end up learning something whether i want to or not. all of us suggest issues to bat around, but i've noticed we almost always have some contentious topic about nutrition and food. from gmos to gluten to red meat, some recent bit of n ns will start us down one of those all- too-familiar c cversations. like politics and religion, nutrition seems to be another segment of human knowledge with enormous gray areas and shifting beliefs. there are good reasons why. probably most importantly, we can't do rigorous nutrition experiments like we can for drugs, with placebos and
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standard for scientific evidence, are simply not possible. it would require thousands of patients eating rigidly controlled diets for years. meanwhile consider most of of us can't lay off cookies for lent. instead we use observational data: we ask what people eat, follow what happens to them and try to tease out statistical linkages. only we know we not only don't rmember well what we eat, we outright fib, just like your last doctor appointment. the result is a flood of conflicting studies released almost daily based on questionable data. and a generalalpublic highly skeptical of any dietary advice. consider the back and forth on fats, carbohydrates and salt, for examples. so are there any guidelines that we are certain about? y, but not many. here's what we know: 1. if you eat too much you get fat 2. you need vitamins and minerals, but almost all but extreme diets provide plenty 3. make sure there is no lead, mercury or
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what we think we know is subject to debate and revision. many current guidelines are undoubtedly correct and useful, but we cannot say with absolute cocoiction which. the bebe vice i can offer on nutrition is chip and jim are usually wrong. thanks, john. next, we're off to california for an inside look at avacado season, and why are trying to harvest early to
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from the studios of f rm journal broadcast, this is u.s. farm report. welcome back to u-s farm report. we have much more in store for you over the next half hour. california is ripe for avacado harvest. we'll head to the mountainside where one family is finding a niche market to open up new doors for demand. in customer support, john phipps connects the dot between fuel prices and commodity prices. and baxter black has a story about good deeds. now for the
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percent lower this yeaeathan what we saw inin013, ag secretary tom vilsack says we aren't in a farm criris like the 1980s. the secretary testifying in front of the house ag committee wednesday. vislack says he expects to see increased borrowing this year. but the safety net-- in place from the latest farm bill-- is working the way it was intended, including $5 point 2 billion dollars in payments to 900 thousand producers last year. vilsack says the rural economy is surviving in part because of diversification supported in the latest farm bill
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commodity areas but focused on increasing demand, including through tpp speakikng of t-p-p, the american farm bureau coming out with strong support of the deal. this week, farm bureau said the trade pact could boost annual net farm income in the u-s by $4.4 billion. the report forecasting farm-price increases for corn of fiveveents per bushel, a 12 cent per bushel crease for soybeans, two-cents per bushsh increase for wheat and 16 cents per hdredweight increase for rice. afbf also predicting price increases for beef at $2.66 per hundredweight, a $2.45 increase for pork anana $1.45 increase for poultry. milk also expected to rise 21 cents per hundredweight. with the spiral in u-s commodity prices, usda is saying it's impacting the number of farms. usda releasing its farms and land in f arms 2015 summary showing 8 thousand fewer farms in 2015
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of farmland. but the size of an average farm is getting larger. usda says the average farm size is 3 acres bigger than the 441 acres in 2014. a total of 9 ates showed farmland reductions of at least a hundred-thousand acres, including alabama, colorado, georgia, oklahoma and north dakota. an update to the january avian influenza outbreak in uthern indiana. officials lifted the control area for avian flu this week, as officials found no new positive tests since january 16. after finding the h-7 strain, aphis conducted aggressive testing in a 10 kilometer control area. if you're heading to commodity classic next week, there are a couple ways to join us throughout the week. thursday,
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one to two p.m. talking with ken ferrie about growing yields in an era of low prices. on friday, our partners at agritalk will start around 6- a.m. with a taping of their friday free for all. then, at 7 a.m., we'll kick off our marketing roundtable discussion with mark gold, chip flory and ted seifried. john phipps and i will host that event. then later that day, i'll join machinery pete-- greg peterson at the dekalb booth for a discussion on the farm machinery market. we know it's a busy week for everyone, but we hope you can join us at some poinin even if it's just to say hello. that's it for news...m.meorologist mike hoffman joins us now w wh the long-range fecast. mike, i'm ear to see your 90 day outlook. do you think we'll turn drier? thanks, tyne, well of course it depends on where you live, but the eastern corn belt after some wet periods here should turn drier. you can see it in the jet stream as we head through this week multiple
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country. lots of warmth in the southwest and still pretty cold in northern plains into the northeast. and that continues even as we head into next weekend as you can see there. let's go 90 day outlook. march temperatures, above normal in the northeast, some of the northwest, but below normal from neneaska to texas, back to the four corners i io the southeast. then, what w wre going to do then is shrink the below normal area by april into the far southwestern plains and four corner region. above normal for the ohio river northward into the great lakes and through the northwest. by may we expand the warmth even more. most of the east, most of the northern plains into the northwest. only below normal areas are west texas and southeast new mexico. 90 outlook for precipitation still above normal through a lot of the southern tier of states, but ohio valley, great lakes, below normal. tyne. thanks, mike. the super bowl is over, and march madness is set to begin. increasingly the american snack tray is seeing a dash of
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ththamerican diet. the s ser bowl alone sawawonsumption of nearly 140 million pounds of the green fruit-- and that's up 13 percent compared to 2015. as clinton griffiths reports, while much of those early avocados come from mexico--some california growers are also picking for a late winter arrival. the del rey avocado company in fallbrook california... is packing in a hurry. the fruit headed for stores--hopefully before the competition. as a company del rey avocado we usually pride ourselves at being the first packck into the california market.// so we'vevetarted a little earlier than normal because of that demand for california avocados. 1:18 in the packing house...and in the field. del rey owns some of its own farms...and teams are
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climb up and down the hills so it's really hard work and it's really tiring. selecting and picking fruit -- sometimes 30 or 40 feet in the air either by pole or ladder. fruit that eventually has to make its way down the mountainside... the bags are 80 pounds// 9:23 they're pretty heavy. 9:25 so far--what's filling bags and bins is high quality. quality wise it't'looking very good. it's been eating i would probably say better than normal for this time of year. it's been unusually warm so the oil content and the fruit eating is very good for this time of year. 2:19 because of their ability to hang on the tree, avocado's don't have to be harvested all at once. we're doing a size pick they're picking what we call size 48 or 8 ounce and larger. so we're select picking right now taking the bigger avocados off and leaving the smaller ones
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few months. the california avocado commission forecasts nearly 400 million pounds of california avocados will be harvested in 2016. a market that's seen growing competition from mexico in recent years. the price of the mexican fruit its a lot chear than what we're able to farm for but have a following for the california so we're able to ask for a little more money for the california fruit and these people are willing to pay a little extra because they know the quality piece of fruit we're able to grow here in california. by focusing on organiproduction and market timing the company is finding room for it's boxes. it has helped us gain a aess to some clients that that we probably wouldn't sell to because we handle both conventional and organic. so by selling organic avocados it's opened that door for us to sell
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underway...as the growing popularity of this fruit encourages both pickers and packers to keep these california avocados moving--from tree to table. thanks, clinton. food suppliers are also cashing in on avacado's and the attractiveness of the food item for a heart-healthy diet. del montnt reporting a 34 percent increase in avocado sales just lala year. john phipps joins us to discuss the correlation between fuel and
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a great question from dave and peggy pettis in cheney, washington: talklk about how the
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it has an impact on the corn but it surely has a positive impact on other grains. our cost of production and transport has dropped a great deal. i would think that its impact on corn shouldn't be alarge as thought. for example, if it brings down the cost to produce and transport on the front wouldn't that offset the drop on the end product? maybe the producers of the ethanol need a way to bring down their production costs as well." the astonishing and persistent drop in oil prices immediately affects farm fuel costs, of course, but on most corn-soy farms more efficient equipment, just like higher mileage engines in cars, diminishes this effect. it's still a big help, but when you only use about 4 gallons per acre, it is not a game changer - for us less than ten dollars per acre when total costs are several hundred per acre. meanwhile fifty cents off the price of corn is a hundred dollars per acre. there are other follow on benefits, like
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in costs of transportation for fertilizer and other bulk inputs. these costs are not dropping as rapidly as corn prices, however. as you suggested, the bad news is ethanol - which corn farmers have come to depend on for reliable and huge demand - has to compete with much lower oil prices. in fact, eththol, is now considererly more expensive thth gasoline, even with depressed corn prices. while the renewable fuels mandate creates a usage floor, it's hard to see any overblending as has occurred when gasoline was much higher. the slightly lower costs for corn farmers can't offset the lower demand and much lower corn prices. there is an even more obscure development. because of extremely low oil and freight prices, it is now competitive to ship grain from new orleans around the horn to china and rival prices from the pacific north west. cheap oil means vitually everbody - not just the
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enormously to lower commodity prices across the board, like iron ore and copper. many poorer counties which buy our grain and protein depend heavily on such extractive industries. like me, not many of us ever imagined an oil price scenario like we now face. the longer it cotinues, the more susprising consequences i think we will discover. thanks, john. and next week, john and i will record our entire show from commodity assic. so, tune in next week for that. up next, baxter black.
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there's no doubt rural america is full of good people. but sometimes, good deeds can backfire. just ask baxter black.
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cistizen and help someone in need, like stopping to help a strandededotorist, or feed the nieghbors dog and horses while away. however, in spit of good intentions, our generosity can backfire. like offering tune willie nelson's guitar. ha. or, as a surprise, hunting down the big oak tree in teh nehbors rd so they can have a better view of hte reclaimed open pit of mine. i ran into scott at the wheat growers meeting. he reminded me that he'd come to a poetry gathering and worried that he would not be able to get a good seat. but he said, to my good furtune, i managed to g g a single on teh fofoth row center. it wasreat he told me. there's lots of fancy looking cowgirls prancing down the ailsle. maybe one or even two that have hte setats next to mine. well five minutes before the curtain rose,
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with her walker. they stopped at the end of his row. those setated rows so she could work her way to the seat right next to him. the usher left her walker in teh aisle. scott said the lady was nice and laughed a lot. she managed to stand up during the patriotic piece and later at the conclusion of the show. as she stood to leave, she tottered, and seemed to collapse. well scott slid in his hands underneathher arms and caught her. she was so light. so frail you remembered. she said something he did n't catch and thent oppled over again. once more he stepped into save the day. why don't you just sit and i'll go get your walker. she turnedednd looked up at scott. i
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and waiting for me and if you just let me pick up my purse, i'll go. this is baxter black. from out there. you can hear more of baxter's humor online, at baxter black dot com. when we come back, al pell is here with tractor tales and our country church salute...please stay with us.
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welcome back to u-s farm report. in tractor tales, we're off to the thumb of michigan for a favorite classic iron from harold mctaggart this massey-harris worked during the 2nd world war. and when harold found it a few years ago, it looked like it had been througug a war. so, with a a ttle t-l-c, he brought this classic back to life! this is a massey harris 22 is the series. now that's not the year that's the series and
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it's a 1949. it hadn't run in 30 years and the motor was stuck and there's lots of things to look at but i tore it completely apart i came right from the bottom up and restored it and its a beauauful little tractor. the engine's been all done, the gear box has been done and i just got the belt pully and the connections to the 3- point hitch i just got them back yesterday, they just got painted and dried yesterday. they said you'll never get it running and i said ive never seen one, it might take me years but it worked out very good. and ive completely done the engine inside, its got new sleeves and pistons and everything in it. yeah i'm gonna keep this one for show. yeahaht's got too expensive a paint job for work.
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paint right now is real expensive. there isn't many guys that want to tinker with this when they're 82 and i don't know what's wrong with me. seems like i want to go play with this stuff everyday for an hour or two, keep active and do the things i like to do. this week, we're highlighting the bethlehem christian church, located in floris, iowa. started in 1865 in a log cabin, the church maintains its s untry roots today. in fact, most of the improvements throughout the years were paid for by crops raised by members. our thanks to betty downing for sharing their story, and congratulations to the church on their 150 anniversary last october. if you have a church you'd like to share, we would love to hear about it. please mail or email those submissions in. both of the addresses are on the screen. stay with us - tyne is back with
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mike, just when i thought winter was almost over, it's just february. i don't care. it should be over by now. okay, mother nature hit me in the face with another blizzard.....mother nature hits us with a blizzard this week. this was the calm after hte storm. just a really heavy, wet snow, sticking to everything in its path. even stoplights. i didn't knwo if it was red or green, it was just white. that did casue some accidetns by the way. because you couldn't tell eric minks says it's the middle of february, and east central minnesota shouldn't look like this. as you can see, there's just not a lot of snow pack to speak of in his part of the country and mike, it was national ffa week. chapters show their ffa pride in many different ways. in my hometown, one of the most popular days is drive your tractor to school day . so, my dad sent memehis picture of a few of the tractors on display. and i know a lot of schools do the same thing. it's
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know i have to say, i think i've driven a couple of those. those are som eolder tractors there, that my dad and grandpa had. so are you aging yourself. just for hte record he way. the 90 day forecast you had earlier. pretty interseting, drier int eh eastern corn belt, but really wet int eh southwest, including california, more drought relief? it looks like yes, but it's proabbly going to be one of those things as it starts to taper off as we get out of el nino and head toward la nina patter toward fall. so you think fall is when we make that switch. and yes, so we'll be looking at for summer is warmth across much of the lower 48. becasue that's typcially what happens when you go straight from el niono to la nina. as always, we want to hear from you, send comments to mailbag-at-u-s-farm-report-dot- com or check us out on facebook and twitter. from all of us at u.s. farm repopo, i'm tyne
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we'll actually record our entire show from new orlena.s ooooohhh... taht sounds like fun. i'll brag about the weather. don't worry about it. well have a great weekend
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good morning. south carolina smackdown. a decisive win for hillary clinton in the palmetto state, beating bernie sanders by nearly 50 points as the race now heads into super tuesday. >> we are going to compete for every vote, in every state. we are not taking anythin and we're not taking anyone for granted.
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side, the insults are flying turning increasingly juvenile. >> he's flying around on hair force one and tweeting. >> thank god he has really large ears. the biggest ears i've ever seen because they were protecting him. >> voters in 12 states set to go to the polls on tuesday. is it trump/clinton showdown in november all but a done deal? we're live on the campaign trail. gunned down on her first day. a tragic shooting in virginia. >> i just want to be clear, do we have officers involved in a shooting? >> we have three officers that have been shot. >> an officer shot and killed, her first day on the job, two other cops injured. what police are saying this morning about the suspect. world cup crash. olympic skier lindsey vonn with a horrific fall in the middle of a race on saturday. today, despite that fall, and a fracture, she's back in action. and ready for oscar.

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